VA-5 Charlottesville, Lynchburg
Virginia
Not calledR +3.5closes 7:00 pm ET
Lean R
Who's running
John McGuireRIncumbent
John McGuire is a former Navy SEAL and former state senator. He beat Congressman Bob Good in a 2024 primary by fewer than 400 votes, then won the seat with 57 percent. He is in his first term.
What they say they'll do
- Former Navy SEAL
- In Congress since 2025
- Endorsed by Trump
Tom PerrielloD
Tom Perriello held this seat from 2009 to 2011 and was the last Democrat to win it. He later served as U.S. special envoy for Sudan under President Biden. He has raised more money than McGuire.
What they say they'll do
- Former congressman, 2009 to 2011
- Former Sudan envoy
- Outraised McGuire
The tea ☕
- Cook only moved this race from Likely to Lean Republican on November 2, the day before the election. A Washington Post poll in late September had McGuire up 6.
Sources
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Virginia
- https://www.vpm.org/elections/2026-06-18/election-2026-virginia-5th-congressional-district-mcguire
- https://wset.com/news/local/5th-district-race-tightens-ahead-of-election-day-according-to-new-poll-september-2026-tom-perriello-john-mcguire-politics
- https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2026/11/3/800121766/elections/cook-political-report-shifts-5-races-toward-democrats-at-11th-hour/